Publications

In preparation

  • Varying sources of uncertainty in risk-relevant climate projections over the United States

    2025. D.C. Lafferty, S.H. Hartke, R.L. Sriver, P.A. Ullrich, V. Srikrishnan. In Preparation.


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In press

  • Combined climate and hydrologic uncertainties shape projections of future soil moisture in the eastern United States

    2025. D.C. Lafferty, D.S. Grogan, S. Zuidema, I. Haqiqi, A. Alipour, R.L. Sriver, K. Keller. Submitted to Earth's Future.
    Preprint GitHub


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Peer-reviewed

  • Assessment of Storm-Associated Precipitation and its Extremes using Observations and Climate Model Short-Range Hindcasts

    2024. WY. Wu, HY. Ma, D.C. Lafferty, Z. Feng, P. Ullrich, Q. Tang, JC. Golaz, D. Galea, HH. Lee. JGR Atmospheres.
    PDF Publisher's Version


  • Downscaling and bias-correction contribute considerable uncertainty to local climate projections in CMIP6

    2023. D.C. Lafferty, R.L. Sriver. npj Climate & Atmospheric Science.
    Open Access GitHub
    Interactive visualization: MSD-LIVE Jupyter-based dashboard
    Associated blog post: Water Programming


  • Uncertainty analysis in multi-sector systems: Considerations for risk analysis, projection, and planning for complex systems

    2022. V. Srikrishnan, D.C. Lafferty, T.E. Wong, J.R. Lamontagne, J.D. Quinn, S. Sharma, J.M. Nusrat, J.D. Herman, R.L. Sriver, J.F. Morris, B.S. Lee. Earth's Future.
    Open Access GitHub


  • Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields

    2021. D.C. Lafferty, R.L. Sriver, I. Haqiqi, T.W. Hertel, K. Keller, R.E. Nicholas. Communications Earth & Environment.
    Open Access GitHub
    Press coverage: University of Illinois LAS News


  • Improved Gauss law model and in-medium heavy quarkonium at finite density and velocity

    2019. D.C. Lafferty, A. Rothkopf. Physical Review D.
    Open Access


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Other

  • Understanding Decision-Relevant Regional Data Products Workshop Report

    2024. Contributing author D.C. Lafferty. Report convened by U.S. Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research Program.
    Open Access


  • Understanding the role of climate uncertainty in analyses of coupled human-environment systems

    2024. D.C. Lafferty. Ph.D. Thesis.
    Open Access


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